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Red71
313721.2
35822.8
160113.0
Blue117
32948.7
362422.4
1062110.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6978406010012071117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+52
Endgame+42
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +49
11Coral scored#21
38Coral points75
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
48Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
14Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points4
71Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#25
22.81.6
22.220.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End1.7
blue by 25.9
329
#2
48.72.5
28.430.9
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
Second
3137
#28
21.21.6
20.418.7
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
blue by 1.2
3624
#39
22.41.9
21.623.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
1601
#46
13.01.6
16.014.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.0
red by 2.1
10.92.5
13.315.8
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed