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Red110
901638.7
2817.5
216120.2
Blue151
445841.2
287251.1
313721.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831114060100120140160180110151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+29
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#21
48Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
86Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points12
110Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9016
#13
38.71.6
37.739.3
Auto7.1
Teleop28.3
End3.3
blue by 12.4
51.12.2
45.847.9
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End4.4
Second
2161
#15
20.22.4
20.623.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End1.5
blue by 21.1
41.23.2
30.433.6
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End2.5
Third
28
#29
17.52.4
17.319.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End2.0
blue by 3.8
3137
#28
21.23.2
18.722.0
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned