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Red67
642323.2
49621.4
32948.7
Blue128
28740.2
53327.1
901638.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211420406010014016018067128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+53
Fouls+61
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +47
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points73
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
46Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#6
1L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points8
67Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#2
48.71.7
35.633.9
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End5.3
red by 8.5
287
#4
40.21.0
32.933.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.5
End2.9
Second
6423
#21
23.21.0
19.818.7
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End1.8
blue by 15.4
9016
#13
38.71.0
39.340.3
Auto7.1
Teleop28.3
End3.3
Third
496
#27
21.41.7
21.019.3
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.3
blue by 5.7
533
#32
27.11.1
27.428.6
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned