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Red78
964615.1
56915.3
287251.1
Blue62
56421.0
286939.0
54521.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91642040801001201401607862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
7Coral scored#5
25Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
35Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
14Foul points8
78Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.1
47.946.8
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End4.4
red by 12.0
2869
#10
39.00.8
29.328.6
Auto7.1
Teleop26.0
End5.9
Second
569
#14
15.31.9
18.416.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
blue by 5.7
545
#26
21.00.8
11.410.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Third
9646
#36
15.11.9
14.712.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End2.1
blue by 5.9
564
#22
21.00.5
20.119.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned