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Qual 442025 FIRST Long Island Regional
Red116
35822.8
81027.0
445841.2
Blue147
395032.8
287537.2
49621.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966920406080120140160180116147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +28
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
12Processor points18
16Net points32
28Algae points50
91Total teleop119
Reef
5L4#9
8L3#7
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
116Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#6
41.22.3
33.2→35.5
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End2.5
red by 4.0
2875
#12
37.28.1
21.7→29.8
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End0.2
Second
810
#18
27.02.3
25.5→27.8
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
blue by 5.9
3950
#8
32.84.8
19.1→23.9
Auto7.0
Teleop23.2
End2.7
Third
358
#25
22.82.3
20.3→22.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 1.5
496
#27
21.48.1
18.7→26.7
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed