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Red97
56915.3
456714.9
146851.2
Blue64
2817.5
80617.5
26324.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8353020401001201401609764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +38
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
75Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#3
5L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points8
97Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#17
51.21.5
43.945.4
Auto10.7
Teleop36.5
End4.0
red by 27.2
263
#19
24.00.4
19.919.6
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
Second
569
#14
15.31.5
17.619.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
blue by 2.2
806
#37
17.50.6
14.113.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End0.9
Third
4567
#24
14.91.5
12.914.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 2.5
28
#29
17.50.6
21.320.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed