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Red70
602415.8
501626.9
969237.2
Blue114
26324.0
573662.8
81027.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84116406010014016018070114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
6Processor points12
0Net points4
6Algae points16
39Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#5
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
6Foul points2
70Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#11
37.22.0
39.837.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
blue by 25.6
62.80.4
58.759.1
Auto21.3
Teleop33.9
End7.6
Second
5016
#23
26.91.4
28.527.1
Auto6.9
Teleop18.8
End1.2
blue by 0.1
810
#18
27.00.5
27.127.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End2.3
Third
6024
#34
15.82.0
16.714.7
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End1.8
blue by 8.3
263
#19
24.00.4
20.621.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned