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Red43
226524.4
1045218.7
402744.9
Blue127
341938.0
963621.0
457129.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847605010015020025030043127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+38
Endgame+42
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
32Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
6Foul points48
43Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.93.8
41.337.5
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
red by 6.9
38.00.2
34.334.1
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End6.0
Second
2265
#23
24.43.8
19.615.8
Auto6.3
Teleop16.5
End1.6
blue by 5.4
29.80.2
26.726.5
Auto6.1
Teleop22.8
End0.9
Third
18.75.2
16.611.4
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 2.3
9636
#13
21.00.2
12.111.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned