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Red45
1039919.3
33511.3
929527.9
Blue125
69491.4
429917.5
66367.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53122010015020045125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+68
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +53
4Coral scored#16
16Coral points57
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
28Total teleop81
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
9Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
45Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9295
#21
27.90.9
24.824.0
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.4
blue by 63.5
694
#2
91.41.5
77.278.7
Auto23.4
Teleop56.3
End11.7
Second
19.31.2
17.316.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 1.9
4299
#38
17.52.5
13.616.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
335
#28
11.31.2
13.412.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
red by 3.4
6636
#29
7.91.8
11.513.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned