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Red43
300418.2
7439.6
922032.9
Blue72
1039919.3
529832.3
39511.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61624550556570754372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
26Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
43Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.92.4
21.118.7
Auto6.5
Teleop26.0
End0.4
red by 0.6
5298
#18
32.30.7
31.231.9
Auto5.3
Teleop24.9
End2.1
Second
3004
#24
18.21.8
15.914.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End1.9
blue by 1.2
19.31.2
16.217.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Third
743
#50
9.62.4
15.613.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 2.2
395
#19
11.80.8
7.68.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed