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Red65
1047115.2
39511.8
457129.8
Blue56
1041317.5
64013.2
929527.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5875020401001201406556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
50Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points0
65Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.4
28.228.6
Auto6.1
Teleop22.8
End0.9
red by 1.9
9295
#21
27.90.9
26.525.6
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.4
Second
15.20.6
11.111.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 2.3
17.51.6
16.014.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
395
#19
11.80.4
10.210.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 1.4
640
#20
13.21.6
18.617.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed