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Red53
37607.8
929527.9
30177.8
Blue71
341938.0
33425.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4610001505371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +13
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
42Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points32
53Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9295
#21
27.90.2
25.625.8
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.4
blue by 10.0
38.03.0
39.636.6
Auto10.3
Teleop21.7
End6.0
Second
3760
#16
7.80.3
7.98.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End1.1
blue by 17.8
334
#12
25.63.0
29.026.0
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Third
3017
#45
7.80.2
10.410.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End-0.1
blue by 0.6
10454
#53DQ
8.44.9
12.07.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed