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Red68
80615.6
58069.8
33425.6
Blue38
234425.2
7439.6
429917.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6260203040507080901006838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
5Coral scored#6
19Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
29Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
18Foul points0
68Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
#12
25.60.1
26.025.9
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End0.3
red by 0.4
2344
#40
25.21.5
23.822.3
Auto3.0
Teleop21.2
End1.0
Second
806
#42
15.60.1
15.715.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End1.0
blue by 1.9
4299
#38
17.51.5
19.017.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
5806
#49
9.80.2
10.09.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.0
red by 0.3
743
#50
9.61.5
11.19.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed