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Red66
115531.8
51236.9
33511.3
Blue74
188032.8
1047115.2
1045218.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5476020401001201406674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +4
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
39Total teleop43
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
12Foul points0
66Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#14
31.80.5
30.030.5
Auto7.5
Teleop22.9
End1.3
blue by 1.1
1880
#30
32.80.6
32.533.1
Auto5.6
Teleop24.9
End2.3
Second
335
#28
11.30.7
10.711.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 7.4
18.70.9
17.918.7
Auto3.3
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
5123
#46
6.90.7
6.26.9
Auto0.3
Teleop6.2
End0.4
blue by 8.3
15.20.9
14.715.5
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned