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Red237
179692.6
687327.0
69491.4
Blue86
402744.9
457129.8
226524.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2408605015020030035023786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+133Teleop
+143Endgame
+151Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points14
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +105
28Coral scored#12
100Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
11Net algae#2
18Processor points6
44Net points8
62Algae points14
162Total teleop57
Reef
12L4#7
10L3#3
7L2#3
8L1 · trough#2
51Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +151
8Foul points0
237Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.60.3
91.191.4
Auto25.0
Teleop57.4
End10.1
red by 47.7
44.90.4
43.543.1
Auto10.6
Teleop28.1
End6.2
Second
694
#2
91.40.3
89.990.2
Auto23.4
Teleop56.3
End11.7
red by 61.6
29.80.4
28.428.1
Auto6.1
Teleop22.8
End0.9
Third
6873
#47
27.00.4
25.025.4
Auto2.1
Teleop23.2
End1.7
red by 2.6
2265
#23
24.40.4
23.122.7
Auto6.3
Teleop16.5
End1.6