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Red74
1022320.3
112629.5
383820.7
Blue81
140546.2
318119.3
42436.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910701502007481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#12
29Coral points44
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#5
6Processor points0
8Net points20
14Algae points20
43Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points0
74Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#10
29.50.3
24.624.9
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End4.2
blue by 16.8
46.21.0
42.041.0
Auto9.0
Teleop30.7
End6.6
Second
20.70.3
17.117.4
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End6.1
blue by 15.5
424
#7
36.21.0
33.532.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
Third
20.30.3
21.922.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End6.7
red by 0.9
3181
#11
19.31.0
20.119.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed