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Red99
317372.0
493018.4
42436.2
Blue109
318119.3
150755.6
301561.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351605010015020099109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
67Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points6
99Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.02.1
71.369.3
Auto16.3
Teleop46.1
End9.6
red by 10.4
61.72.7
63.961.3
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.8
Second
424
#7
36.22.1
32.530.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.9
End4.9
blue by 19.5
55.62.7
60.257.6
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End7.8
Third
4930
#14
18.42.1
19.917.8
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End1.6
blue by 1.0
3181
#11
19.32.7
19.116.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed