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Red180
301565.9
151826.0
317361.8
Blue187
691129.4
34060.7
461161.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16415580100120140180200220240180187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points51
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points70
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
24Processor points18
32Net points24
56Algae points42
105Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#12
8L3#5
3L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points8
180Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.6
65.866.3
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End9.7
red by 4.8
61.11.0
59.460.4
Auto15.6
Teleop39.8
End5.7
Second
61.80.7
61.662.4
Auto16.4
Teleop37.0
End8.4
red by 1.2
340
#2
60.71.0
59.060.0
Auto18.1
Teleop34.7
End7.9
Third
1518
#34
26.00.7
25.826.5
Auto4.5
Teleop20.3
End1.2
blue by 3.5
6911
#51
29.40.7
28.228.9
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2