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Red36
201031.2
27124.5
79033.4
Blue125
300337.6
395122.0
42438.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63840204010012014036125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+61
Endgame+83
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +50
5Coral scored#16
18Coral points58
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
22Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
8Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points6
36Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#16
31.23.5
26.723.2
Auto6.9
Teleop21.8
End2.5
blue by 7.2
424
#5
38.44.0
34.438.5
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
Second
271
#50
24.53.5
18.915.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.2
End1.7
blue by 13.1
3003
#14
37.64.0
23.227.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.7
Third
7903
#54
3.43.5
13.610.2
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.0
End1.6
blue by 18.6
3951
#22
22.04.0
16.320.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned