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Red97
140545.3
300416.7
304448.5
Blue46
559025.1
691129.4
1022326.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81690501001502009746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+53Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +49
14Coral scored#3
49Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
67Total teleop18
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points0
97Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#11
48.52.3
22.925.2
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
red by 19.0
6911
#51
29.41.1
24.022.8
Auto3.7
Teleop23.5
End2.2
Second
45.32.3
33.235.5
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.0
red by 18.4
26.91.7
19.617.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.0
End6.0
Third
3004
#35
16.72.3
14.616.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 8.3
5590
#26
25.11.7
17.916.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed