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Red108
225241.1
56416.7
159143.5
Blue126
178747.1
37835.4
27124.5
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210295100105110115120125108126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points53
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
24Processor points6
20Net points24
44Algae points30
84Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#6
4L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
108Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#32
43.50.6
38.739.3
Auto10.6
Teleop31.3
End1.5
blue by 3.6
1787
#28
47.12.6
45.648.2
Auto10.4
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Second
2252
#33
41.10.6
33.333.9
Auto11.6
Teleop27.8
End1.7
red by 5.7
378
#29
35.42.6
26.629.2
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End2.9
Third
564
#53
16.70.6
19.420.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End0.8
blue by 7.8
271
#50
24.52.6
18.921.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned