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Qual 542025 Finger Lakes Regional
Red99
2299.4
150748.2
222845.8
Blue139
304448.5
37835.4
2045.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111106608010012014016099139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+46
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +46
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
12Processor points18
12Net points32
24Algae points50
60Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#3
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#30
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
99Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#19
48.21.0
41.2→40.2
Auto8.6
Teleop30.7
End8.9
blue by 0.2
3044
#11
48.53.7
32.4→36.1
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
Second
2228
#7
45.81.0
40.6→39.6
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
red by 0.3
20
#9
45.53.7
33.1→36.8
Auto5.2
Teleop32.5
End7.7
Third
229
#49
9.41.0
14.9→13.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 26.0
378
#29
35.43.7
29.2→32.9
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed