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Red66
158518.2
962214.9
112625.6
Blue45
824322.0
234020.4
2299.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556702040801006645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
7Coral scored#5
25Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
47Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points6
66Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#24
25.61.6
22.223.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.6
red by 3.7
8243
#30
22.02.1
24.322.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Second
1585
#41
18.21.6
16.418.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 2.2
2340
#31
20.42.1
19.917.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Third
9622
#47
14.91.6
12.714.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End1.0
red by 5.5
229
#49
9.42.1
13.911.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed