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Red90
999115.8
99979.7
159149.7
Blue128
63930.3
19145.7
150753.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56153010020090128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
13Coral scored#22
48Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
58Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#11
4L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
90Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#6Sur
49.71.7
42.944.6
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
blue by 3.3
53.00.7
54.053.4
Auto10.5
Teleop35.0
End7.6
Second
9991
#26
15.82.8
8.511.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End0.8
blue by 29.9
191
#7
45.70.7
37.236.6
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
Third
9997
#24
9.72.8
10.813.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 20.6
639
#25Sur
30.30.7
37.937.2
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed