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Red59
412232.0
529827.8
149332.4
Blue62
179660.1
77186.4
395015.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87101501505962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points4
27Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
6Coral scored#7
20Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
28Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
59Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.42.2
30.628.4
Auto10.4
Teleop22.0
End-0.0
blue by 27.7
60.13.0
41.138.1
Auto17.1
Teleop36.6
End6.4
Second
4122
#15
32.02.2
27.325.1
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End2.5
red by 16.6
3950
#47
15.43.0
28.125.1
Auto3.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Third
5298
#36
27.82.2
20.718.6
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
red by 21.4
7718
#33
6.43.0
19.516.5
Auto0.9
Teleop2.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned