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Red102
630019.8
149332.4
301711.8
Blue95
28727.8
696917.0
287242.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83795060709010011012010295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+11Teleop
Endgame+3
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
68Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
12Foul points2
102Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.7
30.030.7
Auto10.4
Teleop22.0
End-0.0
blue by 9.8
42.22.2
31.233.4
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End3.3
Second
6300
#34
19.80.7
26.527.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End0.6
blue by 8.0
287
#10
27.82.2
25.027.2
Auto7.4
Teleop17.3
End3.1
Third
3017
#43
11.80.7
17.818.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End0.1
blue by 5.2
6969
#41
17.02.2
16.718.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned