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Red43
68803.9
529827.8
964225.5
Blue91
26318.1
341931.5
873921.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438602060801001204391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +6
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
35Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points26
43Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5298
#36
27.80.2
18.918.7
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
blue by 3.8
3419
#19
31.51.0
32.931.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End5.4
Second
9642
#49
25.50.2
21.821.7
Auto3.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 3.7
8739
#23
21.71.0
21.520.4
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
Third
6880
#45
3.90.2
3.73.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End0.1
blue by 14.2
263
#22
18.11.0
20.019.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned