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Red35
971313.8
1026220.3
964225.5
Blue51
691126.8
188027.9
37927.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69930501503551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
8Total teleop21
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
12Foul points12
35Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9642
#49
25.54.4
30.025.6
Auto3.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
blue by 2.4
1880
#14
27.94.5
21.917.5
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End1.8
Second
20.36.9
20.313.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.4
End2.8
blue by 7.0
379
#21
27.34.5
29.925.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End3.7
Third
9713
#28
13.84.4
14.710.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End2.2
blue by 12.9
6911
#18
26.84.5
27.222.8
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed