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Red54
76686.5
226518.8
33324.5
Blue87
39511.0
37927.3
412232.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488102040601001205487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#10
29Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
39Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
54Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#46
24.50.0
21.821.8
Auto3.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
blue by 7.5
4122
#15
32.01.2
32.233.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End2.5
Second
2265
#32
18.80.0
15.915.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
blue by 8.5
379
#21
27.31.2
25.226.4
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End3.7
Third
7668
#44
6.50.0
10.710.7
Auto1.0
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 4.5
395
#38
11.01.2
13.214.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned