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Red139
731817.8
873921.7
69464.0
Blue78
301711.8
205333.9
1026220.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026220408012014013978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+55Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
12Processor points6
28Net points16
40Algae points22
87Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points0
139Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
64.03.9
53.757.6
Auto18.2
Teleop37.9
End7.9
red by 30.1
33.90.7
32.933.6
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End-0.1
Second
8739
#23
21.73.9
17.321.2
Auto3.6
Teleop16.3
End1.8
red by 1.4
20.30.7
13.013.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Third
7318
#29
17.83.9
15.919.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
red by 6.0
3017
#43
11.80.7
14.315.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed