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Red84
659322.2
37927.3
929526.9
Blue51
1015216.5
77304.3
529827.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7539020601001208451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+21Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
48Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
84Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#21
27.32.1
26.428.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End3.7
blue by 0.5
5298
#36
27.81.1
19.320.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
Second
26.92.1
22.024.1
Auto6.3
Teleop20.0
End0.6
red by 10.4
16.51.1
13.014.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Third
6593
#11
22.22.1
17.119.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.1
red by 17.9
7730
#37
4.31.1
9.010.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed