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Red83
529827.8
659322.2
446723.9
Blue60
691126.8
630019.8
501625.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778840601001201408360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
65Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
2Foul points0
83Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5298
#36
27.80.7
20.421.0
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
red by 1.0
6911
#18
26.82.3
30.528.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.3
End1.4
Second
4467
#17
23.90.7
27.327.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
blue by 2.0
5016
#20
25.92.3
22.520.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0
Third
6593
#11
22.20.7
19.219.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.1
red by 2.5
6300
#34
19.82.3
20.017.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed