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Red176
69464.0
529827.8
179660.1
Blue118
35340.7
573652.0
501625.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166117100150200176118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +17
19Coral scored#15
70Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
94Total teleop77
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#4
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +58
24Foul points0
176Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
64.00.1
62.562.6
Auto18.2
Teleop37.9
End7.9
red by 12.0
52.00.1
50.750.8
Auto18.4
Teleop27.5
End6.1
Second
60.10.1
58.658.7
Auto17.1
Teleop36.6
End6.4
red by 19.4
353
#4
40.70.1
39.439.5
Auto9.0
Teleop29.0
End2.7
Third
5298
#36
27.80.1
26.426.5
Auto5.8
Teleop20.7
End1.3
red by 1.9
5016
#20
25.90.1
24.624.7
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End1.0