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Red137
35834.9
19156.9
457124.5
Blue91
640119.0
664822.2
87064.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10795608012014016013791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+44Teleop
+52Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
19Coral scored#13
70Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
100Total teleop60
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points6
137Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#10
56.92.3
48.050.3
Auto17.4
Teleop35.2
End4.4
blue by 7.6
870
#8
64.51.0
52.751.7
Auto15.5
Teleop38.9
End10.1
Second
358
#32
34.92.1
24.726.7
Auto6.9
Teleop25.0
End3.1
red by 12.8
6648
#44
22.21.7
17.415.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Third
4571
#54
24.53.4
19.623.1
Auto3.0
Teleop21.3
End0.3
red by 5.5
6401
#45
19.01.1
15.914.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed