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Red180
300345.5
179682.2
286943.0
Blue129
775914.9
304465.0
25016.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16078050100200250180129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +25
18Coral scored#21
66Coral points77
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
18Processor points6
36Net points12
54Algae points18
120Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#6
9L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
180Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.22.0
66.968.9
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
red by 17.2
65.02.5
53.355.8
Auto15.9
Teleop43.3
End5.8
Second
3003
#16
45.52.0
37.839.8
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End8.3
red by 29.2
250
#46
16.32.5
14.917.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Third
2869
#13
43.02.0
37.139.1
Auto7.8
Teleop28.8
End6.4
red by 28.1
7759
#52
14.92.5
16.218.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed