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Red163
112629.6
412258.1
146859.6
Blue80
680624.9
25016.3
35834.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1666605010015020025016380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+77Teleop
+89Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +60
25Coral scored#11
90Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
114Total teleop54
Reef
12L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points6
163Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#19
59.61.0
60.661.6
Auto15.7
Teleop40.2
End3.7
red by 24.7
358
#32
34.90.1
30.630.5
Auto6.9
Teleop25.0
End3.1
Second
58.11.0
52.453.4
Auto13.4
Teleop34.0
End10.7
red by 33.2
6806
#36
24.90.1
23.623.5
Auto4.0
Teleop18.8
End2.0
Third
1126
#18
29.61.0
29.330.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.2
End4.6
red by 13.2
250
#46
16.30.1
16.116.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsEarned