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Red125
2065.3
640119.0
962435.2
Blue131
750432.8
412258.1
703021.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119118100140160125131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
88Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#6
9L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
125Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
65.30.8
59.159.9
Auto10.0
Teleop46.0
End9.3
red by 7.1
58.11.4
53.454.8
Auto13.4
Teleop34.0
End10.7
Second
9624
#37
35.20.8
32.733.5
Auto9.1
Teleop23.3
End2.8
red by 2.4
7504
#24
32.81.4
30.932.3
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
Third
6401
#45
19.00.8
16.417.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.8
blue by 2.5
7030
#28
21.52.3
19.521.9
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned