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Red106
317125.6
151833.9
760541.7
Blue189
318125.1
205341.1
179682.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10315550200106189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+73
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +38
9Leave0
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points47
9Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +35
18Coral scored#22
65Coral points80
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
18Processor points18
8Net points28
26Algae points46
91Total teleop126
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#12
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
106Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7605
#12
41.70.3
39.038.6
Auto10.9
Teleop27.1
End3.7
blue by 40.5
82.22.9
74.377.2
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
Second
1518
#22
33.90.3
35.635.3
Auto3.5
Teleop28.2
End2.1
blue by 7.3
2053
#27
41.12.9
38.841.7
Auto13.4
Teleop27.3
End0.5
Third
3171
#49
25.60.3
25.024.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End2.1
red by 0.5
3181
#25
25.12.9
21.324.2
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned