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Red136
287550.8
149349.4
1035225.4
Blue61
336039.0
300345.5
33422.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989770809011012013013661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+71Teleop
+67Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
19Coral scored#10
70Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
88Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#5
10L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
8Foul points0
136Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.83.2
37.240.3
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
red by 5.3
3003
#16
45.52.8
37.634.8
Auto7.2
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
1493
#21
49.43.2
32.435.5
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
red by 10.4
3360
#20
39.02.1
28.926.7
Auto6.1
Teleop26.5
End6.5
Third
25.43.7
25.421.7
Auto7.0
Teleop14.9
End3.5
red by 2.9
334
#56
22.53.5
20.316.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed