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Red145
286943.0
304465.0
287550.8
Blue173
395050.1
279137.0
149349.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17413450100150200250300145173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+16
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +35
19Coral scored#24
70Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
94Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#11
8L3#6
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points12
145Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.00.3
65.264.9
Auto15.9
Teleop43.3
End5.8
red by 15.0
3950
#14
50.10.7
47.348.0
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
Second
50.80.3
51.050.7
Auto14.0
Teleop35.6
End1.3
red by 1.4
1493
#21
49.40.7
46.647.3
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
Third
2869
#13
43.00.3
43.242.9
Auto7.8
Teleop28.8
End6.4
red by 6.0
37.00.7
34.234.9
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1