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Red103
814524.0
1058214.5
222862.2
Blue148
67728.5
12026.4
461176.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83141050100200103148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
16Coral scored#20
56Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
66Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#10
7L3#5
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points2
103Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.21.2
52.253.4
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.0
blue by 14.1
76.41.5
62.363.8
Auto19.4
Teleop48.5
End8.5
Second
8145
#44
24.01.2
12.213.4
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End4.0
blue by 4.5
677
#30
28.51.6
25.927.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Third
14.51.3
11.312.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 11.9
120
#37
26.41.5
26.828.3
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned