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Red81
954512.0
541326.0
4841.2
Blue99
319325.8
574050.3
405018.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60960501502008199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+4
Endgame+12
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
62Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points6
81Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#24
41.21.4
28.329.7
Auto7.2
Teleop26.9
End7.1
blue by 9.1
50.30.6
46.747.3
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End9.1
Second
5413
#40
26.01.6
19.421.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End6.2
red by 0.3
3193
#32
25.80.5
16.817.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Third
9545
#48
12.01.7
11.913.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 6.9
4050
#33
18.80.6
21.422.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned