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Red130
140549.1
301560.2
964311.3
Blue165
317371.4
871328.3
130830.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401320200300400500600700130165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#18
32Coral points63
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
64Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#4
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points24
130Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#22
60.20.5
67.067.5
Auto14.0
Teleop36.2
End9.9
blue by 11.2
71.40.7
62.963.7
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
Second
1405
#25
49.10.5
43.343.9
Auto9.7
Teleop31.5
End7.8
red by 18.1
1308
#17
30.90.7
26.327.1
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.4
Third
9643
#35
11.30.5
11.812.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 17.1
8713
#13
28.31.2
25.626.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned