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Red150
1058214.5
178763.5
426936.7
Blue79
814021.2
326030.6
319325.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1296005010015020015079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +49
21Coral scored#9
77Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
105Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
8Foul points0
150Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.6
56.958.5
Auto13.7
Teleop38.6
End11.2
red by 32.9
3260
#47
30.60.5
25.726.2
Auto6.0
Teleop18.0
End6.7
Second
4269
#27
36.71.6
33.234.7
Auto4.2
Teleop31.1
End1.4
red by 10.9
3193
#32
25.80.5
18.518.9
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Third
14.51.6
14.315.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 6.7
8140
#43
21.20.5
15.816.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed