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Red115
140549.1
839327.8
814021.2
Blue59
222862.2
913913.5
377711.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100996070809011012013014011559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+48Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points17
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +49
14Coral scored#7
51Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
79Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
115Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#25
49.11.9
46.548.4
Auto9.7
Teleop31.5
End7.8
blue by 13.2
62.21.8
56.855.0
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.0
Second
8393
#41
27.81.9
23.525.4
Auto6.2
Teleop20.6
End1.0
red by 14.2
9139
#54
13.53.0
14.811.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Third
8140
#43
21.21.9
16.318.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End3.4
red by 10.0
3777
#53
11.13.0
14.411.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed