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Red161
239953.2
319325.8
4841.2
Blue154
217234.2
814524.0
414564.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212650150200250161154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +4
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
107Total teleop103
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#9
3L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
161Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#11
53.23.7
41.845.5
Auto9.9
Teleop35.4
End7.9
blue by 11.6
64.92.2
64.666.8
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
Second
48
#24
41.23.7
33.837.4
Auto7.2
Teleop26.9
End7.1
red by 7.0
2172
#23
34.22.2
27.129.3
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Third
3193
#32
25.83.7
19.222.9
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.5
red by 1.8
8145
#44
24.02.2
17.920.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned