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Red100
499137.3
405018.8
1020827.0
Blue131
260344.6
140549.1
814524.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8813150100150200100131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
72Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#5
3L3#7
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
100Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#12
37.30.8
34.535.4
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End1.2
blue by 11.8
1405
#25
49.11.2
46.447.7
Auto9.7
Teleop31.5
End7.8
Second
27.00.8
25.326.1
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.1
blue by 17.6
2603
#16
44.61.2
38.940.1
Auto8.6
Teleop28.1
End7.9
Third
4050
#33
18.80.8
18.619.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End-0.3
blue by 5.2
8145
#44
24.01.2
21.422.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned