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Red188
696437.2
130830.9
217234.2
Blue214
69573.8
178763.5
155931.2
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11118550100150200250188214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+42
Endgame+50
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +28
25Coral scored#26
89Coral points95
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
109Total teleop137
Reef
12L4#12
9L3#9
7L2#8
3L1 · trough#7
35Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +8
18Cage & park26
18Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +26
24Foul points0
188Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.0
36.237.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End8.2
blue by 36.5
695
#15
73.80.9
70.271.1
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
Second
2172
#23
34.21.0
33.234.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
blue by 29.3
63.50.9
60.060.9
Auto13.7
Teleop38.6
End11.2
Third
1308
#17
30.91.0
29.930.9
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.4
blue by 0.3
1559
#19
31.20.9
27.728.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.8