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Red164
499137.3
222862.2
574050.3
Blue192
69573.8
178763.5
155931.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169176100150200250164192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+28
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points38
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +18
19Coral scored#26
68Coral points92
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
24Processor points18
12Net points12
36Algae points30
104Total teleop122
Reef
8L4#14
8L3#11
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +28
2Foul points0
164Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.1
62.162.2
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.0
blue by 11.5
695
#15
73.80.6
71.171.7
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
Second
50.30.1
50.250.3
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End9.1
blue by 13.2
63.50.6
60.961.5
Auto13.7
Teleop38.6
End11.2
Third
4991
#12
37.30.1
37.237.3
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End1.2
red by 6.1
1559
#19
31.20.6
28.629.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.8