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Red90
14440.9
136921.3
12025.6
Blue121
432942.8
751611.9
909723.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996405015090121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+37
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
75Total teleop98
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#28
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
90Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#18
40.90.1
32.532.4
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 1.9
4329
#10
42.84.4
31.636.1
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
Second
120
#24
25.60.1
26.026.0
Auto3.0
Teleop19.7
End2.9
red by 1.7
9097
#13
23.94.4
10.915.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End3.6
Third
1369
#45
21.30.1
23.623.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.0
red by 9.4
7516
#28
11.96.0
16.022.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed